Preprints

[1] P.J. Brantingham and M.B. Short, When is police patrol random?, (2016)

Published Works and Refereed Conference Proceedings

[51] M.B. Short and G.O. Mohler, A Fully Bayesian Tracking Algorithm for Mitigating Disparate Prediction Misclassification, accepted in The International Journal of Forecasting (2022)

[50] M.B. Short, Winning Wordle Wisely -or- How to ruin a fun little Internet game with math, accepted in The Mathematical Intelligencer (2022)

[49] G.O. Mohler, M.B. Short, F. Schoenberg, and D. Sledge, Analyzing the impacts of public policy on COVID-19 transmission in Indiana: The role of model and dataset selection, Statistics and Public Policy (2021)

[48] J. Olinde and M.B. Short, A Self-limiting Hawkes Process: Interpretation, Estimation, and Use in Crime Modeling, 2020 IEEE International Conference on Big Data (2020)

[47] A.L. Bertozzi, E. Franco, G.O. Mohler, M.B. Short, and D. Sledge, The challenges of modeling and forecasting the spread of COVID-19, PNAS (2020)

[46] G. Mohler, A.L. Bertozzi, J. Carter, M.B. Short, D. Sledge, G.E. Tita, C.D. Uchita, and P.J. Brantingham, Impact of social distancing during COVID-19 pandemic on crime in Los Angeles and Indianapolis, J. Criminal Justice (2020)

[45] C. Wang, Y. Zhang, A.L. Bertozzi, and M.B. Short, A stochastic-statistical residential burglary model with independent Poisson clocks, EJAM (2020)

[44] N. Santitissadeekorn, D.J.B. Lloyd, M.B. Short, and S. Delahaies, Approximate filtering of conditional intensity process for Poisson count data: Application to urban crime, Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 144 (2019)

[43] G.O. Mohler, P.J. Brantingham, J. Carter, and M.B. Short, Reducing bias in estimates for the law of crime concentration, J. Quant. Criminol. 35 (2019)

[42] C. Wang, Y. Zhang, A.L. Bertozzi, and M.B. Short, A stochastic-statistical residential burglary model with finite size effects, in Active Particles, Volume 2 (2019)

[41] T. Chen, M. McBride, and M.B. Short, Dynamics of religious group growth and survival, Journal for the Scientific Study of Religion 58 (2018)

[40] N. Santitissadeekorn, M.B. Short, and D.J.B. Lloyd, Sequential data assimilation for 1D self-exciting processes with application to urban crime data, Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 128 (2018)

[39] S. Khorshiki, M. Al Hasan, G.O. Mohler, and M.B. Short, The role of graphlets in viral processes on networks, Journal of Nonlinear Science (2018)

[38] M.B. Short, S.G. McCalla, and M.R. D'Orsogna, Modelling radicalization: how small violent fringe sects develop into large indoctrinated societies, Royal Society Open Science (2017)

[37] G.O. Mohler, M.B. Short, and P.J. Brantingham, The concentration-dynamics tradeoff in crime hot spotting, in Unravelling the Crime Place Connection (2017)

[36] L. Wang, M.B. Short, and A.L. Bertozzi, Efficient numerical schemes for multiscale crowd dynamics with emotional contagion, M3AS 27 (2017)

[35] E.W. Fox, M.B. Short, F.P. Schoenberg, K.D. Coronges, and A.L. Bertozzi, Modeling e-mail networks and inferring leadership using self-exciting point processes, JASA 111 (2016)

[34] M. McBride, R. Kendall, M.R. D'Orsogna, and M.B. Short, Crime, punishment, and evolution in an adversarial game, EJAM 27 (2016)

[33] D.J.B. Lloyd, N. Santitissadeekorn, and M.B. Short, Exploring data assimilation and forecasting issues for an urban crime model, EJAM 27 (2016)

[32] G.O. Mohler, M.B. Short, S. Malinowski, M. Johnson, G.E. Tita, A.L.
Bertozzi, and P.J. Brantingham, Randomized controlled field trials of
predictive policing, JASA 110 (2015)

[31] Y.D. Abbasi, M.B. Short, A. Sinha, N. Sintov, C. Zhang, and M.
Tambe, Human adversaries in opportunistic crime security games: How Past success (or failure) affects future behavior, Workshop on Behavioral, Economic and Computational Intelligence for Security (IJCAI) (2015)

[30] Y.D. Abbasi, M.B. Short, A. Sinha, N. Sintov, C. Zhang, and M.
Tambe, Human adversaries in opportunistic crime security games:
Evaluating competing bounded rationality models, Third Annual Conference on Advanced in Cognitive Systems (2015)

[29] M.B. Short, Individuals versus aggregates: The pros and cons of each perspective in examining offender choices, invitied commentary in Legal and Criminological Psychology 19 (2014)

[28] C. Zhang, A.X. Jiang, M.B. Short, P.J. Brantingham, and M. Tambe, Defending against opportunistic criminals: New game-theoretic frameworks and algorithms, GameSec (2014)

[27] A.L. Bertozzi, J. Rosado, M.B. Short, and L. Wang, Contagion shocks in one dimension, J. Stat. Phys. 158 (2014)

[26] M.B. Short, G.O. Mohler, P.J. Brantingham, and G.E. Tita, Gang rivalry dynamics via coupled point process networks, DCDS-B 19 (2014)

[25] J.R. Zipkin, M.B. Short, and A.L. Bertozzi, Cops on the dots in a mathematical model of urban crime and police response, DCDS-B 19 (2014)

[24] C. Zhang, A.X. Jiang, M.B. Short, P.J. Brantingham, and M. Tambe, Opportunistic Security Game: An Initial Report, AAMAS OptMAS-DCR Workshop (2014)

[23] M.B. Short, The math behind the scene of the crime, Physics Today 67 (2014)

[22] C. Zhang, A.X. Jiang, M.B. Short, P.J. Brantingham, and M. Tambe,
Modeling crime diffusion and crime suppression on transportation
networks: An initial report, AAAI Symposium on Social Networks and Social Contagion (2013)

[21] M.R. D'Orsogna, R. Kendall, M. McBride, and M.B. Short, Criminal Defectors Lead to the Emergence of Cooperation in an Experimental, Adversarial Game, PLOS ONE (2013)

[20] S.G. McCalla, P.J. Brantingham, and M.B. Short, The effects of sacred value networks within an evolutionary, adversarial game, J. Stat. Phys. 151 (2013)

[19] D.S. Hermina Martinez, M. Gonzalez, X. Huang, B. Irvine, C.H. Hsieh, Y.R. Huang, M.B. Short, and A. L. Bertozzi, An Economical Testbed for Cooperative Control and Sensing Strategies of Robotic Micro-vehicles, in Informatics in Control, Automation and Robotics, Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering, Volume 174, edited by J.L. Ferrier, A. Bernard, O. Gusikhin, and K. Madani, Berlin Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag (2013)

[18] M.B. Short, A.B. Pitcher, and M.R. D'Orsogna, External conversions of player strategy in an evolutionary game: a cost-benefit analysis through optimal control, EJAM 24 (2013)

[17] P.J. Brantingham, G.E. Tita, M.B. Short, and S. Reid, The ecology of gang territorial boundaries, Criminology 50 (2012)

[16] G.O. Mohler and M.B. Short, Geographic
profiling from kinetic models of criminal behavior, SIAP 72 (2012)

[15] A. Stomakhin, M.B. Short, and A.L. Bertozzi, Reconstruction of missing data in social networks based on temporal patterns of interactions, Inverse Problems 27 (2011)

[14] P.J. Brantingham and M.B. Short, Crime Emergence, in When Crime Appears: the Role of Emergence, edited by J.M. McGloin, C. Sullivan, and L.W. Kennedy, New York: Routledge (2011)

[13] M. Gonzalez, D.
Hermina, E. Huang, J. Irvine, C.H. Hsieh, Y.R. Huang, M.B. Short, and
A.L. Bertozzi, A third generation micro-vehicle testbed for cooperative
control and sensing strategies, ICINCO Proceedings (2011)

[12] G.O. Mohler, M.B. Short, P.J.
Brantingham, F.P. Schoenberg, and G.E. Tita, Self-exciting point process modeling of crime, JASA 106 (2011)

[11] M.B. Short, P.J. Brantingham, and M.R. D'Orsogna, Cooperation and punishment in an adversarial game: How defectors pave the way to a peaceful society, Phys. Rev. E 82 (2010)

[10] M.B. Short, A.L. Bertozzi, and P.J. Brantingham, Nonlinear patterns in urban crime - Hotspots,
bifurcations, and suppression, SIADS
9 (2010)

[9] M.B. Short, P.J. Brantingham, A.L. Bertozzi, and G.E. Tita, Dissipation and displacement of hotspots
in reaction-diffusion models of crime, from the cover
of PNAS 107 (2010) (supporting information here)

[8] W. Liu, Y.E. Taima, M.B. Short, and
A.L. Bertozzi, Multi-scale
collaborative
searching through swarming, ICINCO Proceedings (2010)

[7] M.B. Short, M.R. D'Orsogna, P.J.
Brantingham, and G.E. Tita,
Measuring and modeling repeat
and
near-repeat burglary effects, J. Quant. Criminol. 25 (2009)

[6] M.B. Short, M.R. D'Orsogna, V.B. Pasour, G.E. Tita, P.J.
Brantingham,
A.L. Bertozzi, and L.B. Chayes, A
statistical model of
criminal behavior, M3AS
18
(2008)

[5] M.B. Short, Fluids,
Form, and Function: The Role of Fluid
Dynamics in the Evolution
of Stalactites, Icicles, and Aquatic Microorganisms, PhD
dissertation,
University of Arizona (2006)

[4] M.B. Short, J.C. Baygents, and R.E. Goldstein, A free-boundary
theory for
the shape of the ideal dripping icicle, Phys. Fluids 18 (2006)

[3] M.B. Short, C.A. Solari, S. Ganguly, T.R. Powers, J. Kessler, and
R.E. Goldstein,
Flows driven by flagella
of multicellular organisms enhance long-range
molecular transport,
from the cover of PNAS 103 (2006)

[2] M.B. Short, J.C. Baygents, and R.E. Goldstein, Stalactite growth as
a free-boundary problem,
Phys. Fluids
17 (2005)

[1] M.B. Short, J.C. Baygents, J.W. Beck, D.A. Stone, R.S. Toomey, and
R.E. Goldstein,
Stalactite growth as a
free-boundary problem: A geometric law and its platonic ideal,
PRL 94 (2005)

Works Plagiarized by Others

Unfortunately, sometimes people copy your work and claim it as
their own. Here is a collection of known papers that plagiarize
from myself and my co-authors:

[2] M. VijayKumar and C. Chandrasekar, A Mathematical Framework for Analyzing and Representing Recur and Near-recur Results in Burglary Crime Data, published in IJMA 2 (2011), plagiarized from publication [7] above.

[1] M. VijayKumar and C. Chandrasekar, Spatial Statistical Model for Predicting Crime Behavior Based On the Analysis of Hotspot Mapping, published in EJSR 54 (2011), plagiarized from publication [6] above.